What are the macroeconomic prospects for South Africa until the new millennium? Two methods of macroeconomic modelling, associated with the World Bank and IMF, are used here to generate three scenarios, based on moderately optimistic projections. The methodology used can be applied to other developing countries
South Africa has to address the challenges of slow economic growth, poverty, andinequality in the ...
This paper compares the forecasting ability of five alternative types of models in predicting four k...
In this paper we examine which key factors at the macroeconomic level are associated with the econom...
This paper presents a number of policy experiments carried out within a modelling framework, which c...
Econometric models are often made up of assumptions that never truly match reality. One of the most ...
MayThe scenarios are updated in this paper to take into account the potentially dramatic impact of t...
We know the blunt facts. Real GDP per capita has fallen to early 1970s levels, whites enjoy incomes ...
This paper uses large Factor Models (FMs), which accommodate a large cross-section of macroeconomic ...
The South African economy has benefited enormously from maintaining credibility as a politically sou...
This paper uses the Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) framework, which accommodates a large cross-section o...
To forecast at several, say h, periods into the future, a modeller faces two techniques: iterating o...
International audienceSouth Africa has committed to eliminate poverty and reduce inequality by 2030 ...
In conformity with the brief provided by UN-DESA, this Country Background Report includes an overvie...
The purpose of this thesis was to develop four scenarios for South Africa over the next forty years:...
This paper uses large Factor Models (FMs), which accommodate a large cross-section of macroeconomic ...
South Africa has to address the challenges of slow economic growth, poverty, andinequality in the ...
This paper compares the forecasting ability of five alternative types of models in predicting four k...
In this paper we examine which key factors at the macroeconomic level are associated with the econom...
This paper presents a number of policy experiments carried out within a modelling framework, which c...
Econometric models are often made up of assumptions that never truly match reality. One of the most ...
MayThe scenarios are updated in this paper to take into account the potentially dramatic impact of t...
We know the blunt facts. Real GDP per capita has fallen to early 1970s levels, whites enjoy incomes ...
This paper uses large Factor Models (FMs), which accommodate a large cross-section of macroeconomic ...
The South African economy has benefited enormously from maintaining credibility as a politically sou...
This paper uses the Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) framework, which accommodates a large cross-section o...
To forecast at several, say h, periods into the future, a modeller faces two techniques: iterating o...
International audienceSouth Africa has committed to eliminate poverty and reduce inequality by 2030 ...
In conformity with the brief provided by UN-DESA, this Country Background Report includes an overvie...
The purpose of this thesis was to develop four scenarios for South Africa over the next forty years:...
This paper uses large Factor Models (FMs), which accommodate a large cross-section of macroeconomic ...
South Africa has to address the challenges of slow economic growth, poverty, andinequality in the ...
This paper compares the forecasting ability of five alternative types of models in predicting four k...
In this paper we examine which key factors at the macroeconomic level are associated with the econom...
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