Vulnerability life cycle exploitation timing modeling

According to the embodiments, a statistical model is developed to estimate the probability of being in a certain stage of a particular vulnerability in its life cycle. The methodology with the application of Markov chain theory gives the basis for calculating estimates for probabilities for different stages of a life cycle of the vulnerability considered. Using the developed method, it is possible to evaluate the risk level of a particular vulnerability at a certain time. These developments allow an advantage in taking measures to avoid exploitations and introduce patches for the vulnerability before an attacker takes the advantage of that particular vulnerability