This paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060 based on a modelling approach that combines aggregate growth projections for the world with a detailed computable general equilibrium sectoral trade model. The analysis suggests that over the next 50 years, the geographical centre of trade will continue to shift from OECD to non-OECD regions reflecting faster growth in non-OECD countries. The relative importance of different regions in specific export markets is set to change markedly over the next half century with emerging economies gaining export shares in manufacturing and services. Trade liberalisation, including gradual removal of tariffs, regulatory barriers in services and agricultural support, as well as...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
The geography and composition of international trade are changing fast. We link a macroeconomic grow...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
The geography and composition of international trade are changing fast. We link a macroeconomic grow...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceThis paper presents long-term trade scenarios for the world economy up to 2060...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
International audienceNotwithstanding the current slowdown, the geography and composition of interna...
The geography and composition of international trade are changing fast. We link a macroeconomic grow...