Effects of COVID-19 Vaccination Timing and Risk Prioritization on Mortality Rates, United States
- Xutong Wang
- Zhanwei Du
- Kaitlyn E. Johnson
- Remy F. Pasco
- Spencer J. Fox
- Michael Lachmann
- Jason S. McLellan
- Lauren Ancel Meyers
Publication date
July 2021
DOI Publisher
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Journal
Emerging Infectious DiseasesAbstract
During rollout of coronavirus disease vaccination, policymakers have faced critical trade-offs. Using a mathematical model of transmission, we found that timing of vaccination rollout would be expected to have a substantially greater effect on mortality rate than risk-based prioritization and uptake and that prioritizing first doses over second doses may be lifesaving
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