Quo vadis, Europa? : five paths, their plausibility and impact

The article discusses the plausibility of five different paths of institutional development of the European Union: deepening integration towards a federal state, a differentiated and flexible union, covert integration, a segmented political order and disintegration/dissolution Systematically varying either the preferences of the main actors or the macro conditions, i.e. decision-making rules, and external shocks, it discusses the plausibility of these paths and their overall effects on the European polity.This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 822304