Impacts of climate change on agricultural markets: A multi-scenario analysis

Human existence is inherently dependent on agriculture. The anthropogenic induced climate change seems to have an important impact on agriculture; nevertheless, this effect is uncertain. In order to unfold the range of the uncertainty we need to employ scenarios, which represent future greenhouse gases emissions levels as well as their socio-economic drivers. Due to the dynamics of the progress in science, technology and economy there is a need for continuous incorporations of this reality into the scenarios to create them as plausible as possible, in order to obtain essential information about, for instance, policies implications or costs associated to climate change. The scenarios must serve to produce robust results to facilitate policy decision making and not to be just a matter of a scientific exercise