Een methode voor het verklaren en voorspellen van trends

For more than a decade, annual forecasts have been made of the capacity need of the different organisations in the justice system, for purpose of substantiating the justice budget. Since 2005, these forecasts have been made using the Forecasting Model for the Justice System. Evaluations have demonstrated, however, that the predictive quality of this model, in particular in the long term, has room for improvement. This report provides a description of the first steps towards a better method. This method is part of a broader instrument, Trendwatch, which has been developed to improve the forecasts of the capacity needed in the justice system. (see link at: More information)