The lessons of Varsovian's reconnaissance

The role played by advanced technology is illustrated with respect to the anticipated era of discovery and exploration (in space): how bold new exploration initiatives may or may not be enabled. Enabling technology makes the mission feasible. To be truly enabling, however, the technology must not only render the proposed mission technically feasible, but also make it viable economically; that is, low enough in cost (relative to the economy supporting it) that urgent national need is not required for justification, low enough that risks can be programmatically tolerated. An allegorical parallel is drawn to the Roman Empire of the second century AD, shown to have possessed by that time the necessary knowledge, motivation, means, and technical capability of mounting, through the use of innovative mission planning, an initiative similar to Columbus' voyage. They failed to do so; not because they lacked the vision, but because their technology was not advanced enough to make it an acceptable proposition economically. Speculation, based on the historical perspective, is made on the outcome of contemporary plans for future exploration showing how they will be subjected to the same historical forces, within limits imposed by the state of technology development, that shaped the timing of that previous era of discovery and exploration