Suppose that a decision-maker's aim, under certainty, is to maximise some continuous value, such as lifetime income or continuous social welfare. Can such a decision-maker rationally satisfy what has been called "continuity for easy cases" while at the same time satisfying what seems to be a widespread intuition against the full-blown continuity axiom of expected utility theory? In this note I argue that the answer is "no": given transitivity and a weak trade-off principle, continuity for easy cases violates the anti-continuity intuition. I end the note by exploring an even weaker continuity condition that is consistent with the aforementioned intuition
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The axiomatic foundation of the expected utility theory (which states that given a set of uncertain ...
Suppose that a decision-maker's aim, under certainty, is to maximise some continuous value, such as ...
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economics we often take as primitive a collection of preference orderings (on actions or alternative...
Analyses of singular (token-level) causation often make use of the idea that a cause increases the p...
Abstract: This paper develops a theory for probabilistic models for risky choices that can be viewe...
The axiomatic foundation of the expected utility theory (which states that given a set of uncertain ...
Suppose that a decision-maker's aim, under certainty, is to maximise some continuous value, such as ...
In this paper, we examine some characterizing implications of the expected utility model with a part...
Catastrophic risks are rare events with major consequences, such as market crashes, catastrophic cli...
The Continuity Test is the principle that a proposed distribution of resources is wrong if it treats...
For many years experimental observations have raised questions about the rationality of economic age...
We consider preferences over all random variables on a given nonatomic probability space. We show th...
AbstractJohann Pfanzagl proposed an additional decision axiom in 1959, complementary to the usual ax...
We extend de Finetti’s (1974) theory of coherence to apply also to unbounded random variables. We sh...
In the face of an impossibility result, some assumption must be relaxed. The Mere Addition Paradox i...
This paper provides an easy verifiable regularity condition under which the investor’s utility maxim...
I present a decision problem in which causal decision theory appears to violate the independence of ...
economics we often take as primitive a collection of preference orderings (on actions or alternative...
Analyses of singular (token-level) causation often make use of the idea that a cause increases the p...
Abstract: This paper develops a theory for probabilistic models for risky choices that can be viewe...
The axiomatic foundation of the expected utility theory (which states that given a set of uncertain ...