Influence of physico-chemical factors on the distribution and biomass of invasive mussels in the St. Lawrence River

Biological invasions threaten the stability and biodiversity of freshwater ecosystems worldwide. The impacts of an invading species often vary across systems, making their prediction difficult. When data from multiple invaded sites are available, statistical models can be developed to correlate an invader's distribution and abundance with local environmental variables; such models could then provide managers with useful tools to help prioritize efforts to control the invader. The introduction of the zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) and quagga mussel (D. bugensis) to North America ranks among the most ecologically and economically disruptive aquatic invasions ever documented. While some attempts have been made to predict zebra mussel occurrence and abundance, none have been made for quagga mussels. Furthermore, few studies have been based on river systems, which possess the bulk of North American freshwater biodiversity. I related zebra and quagga mussel occurrence and biomass to physical habitat variables (calcium concentration, substrate size and depth) in the St. Lawrence River. I then developed predictive models of abundance for each species from combinations of these variables. Each variable explained a significant amount of variation in mussel biomass, but different combinations of variables were obtained for each species. Although these models do not account for all of the variation in abundance, they do provide a useful basis for predicting dreissenid distribution and abundance in other invaded river systems