Effect of physical environment on cercospora carotae and development of a model to predict cerscospora blight of carrot

The effect of interrupted leaf wetness (IWP) and %RH on infection by Cercospora carotae (Pass.) Solh. was studied by inoculating carrot leaves (Daucus carota var sativa DC. L.) and subjecting the plants to different IWP treatment, continuous leaf wetness (CWP) and to different combinations of %RH and temperature with and without an initial wet period of 6 hr. IWP significantly reduced infection as compared to CWP. Infection was optimal under leaf wetness and decreased with decrease in percent RH. The effect of temperature and duration of moist period on sporulation of C. carotae was studied on carrot plants under leaf wetness, 96%RH, and 96%RH with an initial 12 hr of leaf wetness. For all types of moisture conditions, sporulation increased with the increase in temperature up to the optimum (28$ sp circ$C) and then declined. Logistic and polynomial models were used to describe the effect of temperature and time on sporulation under these moisture conditions. The incubation period of Cercospora carotae was studied in the field. First lesions were observed 6 to 8 days after inoculation and new lesions appeared until the 10th to 14th day. The beginning, mean, and end of incubation period was modelled as a function of mean daily temperature and mean daily RH $ ge$ 90%. A model describing lesion appearance as a function of time was developed using a logistic function (R$ sp2$ = 0.84). A prediction model containing series of equations that described mathematically the interaction among predicted inoculum, infection and sporulation equivalents for the environment was developed and validated. In general, the model predicted adequately Cercospora blight progress. A weather-based forecasting system was developed to time the first fungicide spray to manage Cercospora blight of carrot based on the accumulation of critical number of disease severity units