MODELS AND METHODS FOR FORECASTING AND OPERATIVE INDICATION OF CHARACTERISTICS IN DYNAMIC SYSTEMS

The investigation objects are the dynamic trajectories of the systems and methods of their processing. The aim is to create the systems of the methods for processing of the dynamic information, tracing and forecasting including critical development phases, structural analysis of the systems which are in the critical states. The classification of the technical analysis methods and theory of critical levels has been obtained, their combination and application to any nature systems have been considered, the influence of the rank distributions on the character of the dynamic trajectories has been described. The comparison of the evolution and involution processes on the purposive, functional, structural and element levels has been made. The work results have been introduces at the RF Education Ministry at forecasting of the dynamics of limited resources and in the educational process.Available from VNTIC / VNTIC - Scientific & Technical Information Centre of RussiaSIGLERURussian Federatio