Flughaefen im Luftfrachtmarkt Ein entscheidungsbasierter Systemansatz zur Erklaerung und Vorausschaetzung des Luftfrachtaufkommens von Flughaefen

The analysis of the air cargo demand is based on the application of a system engineering technique which includes 12 conditional factors. Firstly the intercontinental trade, the latest development of logistics and the influences of the changes in prices and the supply of air cargo transport are explained in detail. During the next step the reciprocal influence of each of the factors is discussed separately and formally interpreted. As a result a formal method to estimate the volume and the composition of the air cargo demand is developed. The description of the rudiments of the organisation of the air cargo supply includes an explanation of the principal settings of the market. Apart from the segmentation of the supply into three different levels of quality, an approach to assess the individual features of the air cargo supply is proposed. Following this the air cargo volume of all European airports is systematically analysed. First the belly volume of passenger aircraft is observed, distinguishing the intercontinental and the continental volume. Moreover the air cargo transport on board of all-cargo aircraft counted at European airports is analysed. From this a formal model to explain the air cargo volume of an individual airport is evolved. This is based on the premise of widely liberal terms of competition within the air cargo-market and takes into account the Western European conditions. The air cargo supply is modelled analogous to the basic conditions of the decision making process of the air cargo industry. The suitability of the model for forecating is derived from ist application at the Munich airport. For the first time it is possible to consider the full variety of all conditional factors of the air cargo volume systematically. It can thus be concluded that the supply of the air cargo industry finally determines the volume and the structure of the air cargo of an airport. (orig./HM)SIGLEAvailable from TIB Hannover: RA 2508(50) / FIZ - Fachinformationszzentrum Karlsruhe / TIB - Technische InformationsbibliothekDEGerman