Global Sensitivity Analysis: An Approach Based on the Contribution to the Sample Mean Plot

The contribution to the sample mean plot, originally proposed by Sinclair (1993), is revived and further developed as practical tool for global sensitivity analysis. The potentials of this simple and versatile graphical tool are discussed. Beyond the qualitative assessment provided by this approach, a statistical test is proposed for sensitivity analysis. A case study that simulates the transport of radionu- clides through the geosphere from an underground disposal vault containing nuclear waste (OECD 1993) is considered as a benchmark. The new approach is tested against a very efficient sensitivity analysis method based on state dependent parameter meta-modelling (Ratto et al. 2007).JRC.G.9-Econometrics and statistical support to antifrau