The Autoregressive Conditional Marked Duration Model: Statistical Inference to Market Microstructure

Abstract: We consider the Autoregressive Conditional Marked Duration (ACMD) model and apply it to 16 stocks traded in Hong Kong Stock Exchange (SEHK). By examining the orderings of appropriate sets of model parameters, market microstructure phenomena can be explained. To substantiate these conclusions, likelihood ratio test is used for testing the significance of the parameter orderings of the ACMD model. While some of our results resolve a few controversial market microstructure hypotheses and echo some of the existing empirical evidence, we discover some interesting market microstructure phenomena that may be characteristic to SEHK.link_to_OA_fulltex