COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations

Updated Dec. 2, 2020\u2022 This week, CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from 12 modeling groups.\u2022 Four national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next 4 weeks, one forecast predicts a likely decrease, and four forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For December 28, the forecasts estimate 2,300 to 23,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.\u2022 State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.2020E:\cpapFiles\WebServer\COVIDforecasts-casesHospitalization2020dec02eng.pdfhttps://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html874