Association between Physiological Signal Complexity and Outcomes in Moderate and Severe Traumatic Brain Injury: A CENTER-TBI Exploratory Analysis of Multi-Scale Entropy

In traumatic brain injury (TBI), preliminary retrospective work on signal entropy suggests an association with global outcome. The goal of this study was to provide multi-center validation of the association between multi-scale entropy (MSE) of cardiovascular and cerebral physiological signals, with six-month outcome. Using the Collaborative European NeuroTrauma Effectiveness Research in TBI (CENTER-TBI) high-resolution intensive care unit (ICU) cohort, we selected patients with a minimum of 72\u2009h of physiological recordings and a documented six-month Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended (GOSE) score. The 10-sec summary data for heart rate (HR), mean arterial pressure (MAP), intracranial pressure (ICP), and pulse amplitude of ICP (AMP) were derived across the first 72\u2009h of data. The MSE complexity index (MSE-Ci) was determined for HR, MAP, ICP, and AMP, with the association between MSE and dichotomized six-month outcomes assessed using Mann-Whitney U testing and logistic regression analysis. A total of 160 patients had a minimum of 72\u2009h of recording and a documented outcome. Decreased HR MSE-Ci (7.3 [interquartile range (IQR) 5.4 to 10.2] vs. 5.1 [IQR 3.1 to 7.0]; p\u2009=\u20090.002), lower ICP MSE-Ci (11.2 [IQR 7.5 to 14.2] vs. 7.3 [IQR 6.1 to 11.0]; p\u2009=\u20090.009), and lower AMP MSE-Ci (10.9 [IQR 8.0 to 13.7] vs. 8.7 [IQR 6.6 to 11.0]; p\u2009=\u20090.022), were associated with death. Similarly, lower HR MSE-Ci (8.0 [IQR 6.2 to 10.9] vs. 6.2 [IQR 3.9 to 8.7]; p\u2009=\u20090.003) and lower ICP MSE-Ci (11.4 [IQR 8.6 to 14.4)] vs. 9.2 [IQR 6.0 to 13.5]), were associated with unfavorable outcome. Logistic regression analysis confirmed that lower HR MSE-Ci and ICP MSE-Ci were associated with death and unfavorable outcome at six months. These findings suggest that a reduction in cardiovascular and cerebrovascular system entropy is associated with worse outcomes. Further work in the field of signal complexity in TBI multi-modal monitoring is required