With every election come new and different models of forecasting the results. With presidential elections, most of these models tend to rely heavily on the state of the economy for their predictions. While these models are relatively successful, they do nothing to aid decision-making of parties, candidates, and voters. Andreas Graefe explains the Issues and Leaders model, which bases its predictions on how candidates are expected to handle issues and their perceived strength as leaders. He argues that not only is the model effective, but it provides valuable feedback for campaigns and voters
"IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID", BUT CHARISMA MATTERS TOO: A DUAL PROCESS MODEL OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION O...
This article argues that conventional presidential election-outcome forecasting models based on situ...
As the experience of 2000 shows, forecasting presidential elections is an inexact science. Everybody...
The Issues and Leaders model predicts the national popular two-party vote in US presidential electio...
When deciding for whom to vote, voters should select the candidate they expect to best handle issues...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
Competing characterizations of the U.S. economy by President Obama and Mitt Romney during the 2012 p...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
The Big-Issue Model predicts election outcomes based on voters’ perceptions of candidates’ ability t...
We used the take-the-best heuristic to develop a model to forecast the popular twoparty vote shares ...
Abstract: We used the index method to predict U.S. presidential election winners based on issues pol...
This paper establishes a model to forecast the Presidential election outcomes, particularly the 2016...
Prior research found that people’s assessments of relative competence predicted the outcome of Senat...
There is a prevalent belief that the economy determines the President. If the economy is good, the P...
As the 2016 election season rolls on, it is looking increasingly likely that former Secretary of Sta...
"IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID", BUT CHARISMA MATTERS TOO: A DUAL PROCESS MODEL OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION O...
This article argues that conventional presidential election-outcome forecasting models based on situ...
As the experience of 2000 shows, forecasting presidential elections is an inexact science. Everybody...
The Issues and Leaders model predicts the national popular two-party vote in US presidential electio...
When deciding for whom to vote, voters should select the candidate they expect to best handle issues...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
Competing characterizations of the U.S. economy by President Obama and Mitt Romney during the 2012 p...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
The Big-Issue Model predicts election outcomes based on voters’ perceptions of candidates’ ability t...
We used the take-the-best heuristic to develop a model to forecast the popular twoparty vote shares ...
Abstract: We used the index method to predict U.S. presidential election winners based on issues pol...
This paper establishes a model to forecast the Presidential election outcomes, particularly the 2016...
Prior research found that people’s assessments of relative competence predicted the outcome of Senat...
There is a prevalent belief that the economy determines the President. If the economy is good, the P...
As the 2016 election season rolls on, it is looking increasingly likely that former Secretary of Sta...
"IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID", BUT CHARISMA MATTERS TOO: A DUAL PROCESS MODEL OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION O...
This article argues that conventional presidential election-outcome forecasting models based on situ...
As the experience of 2000 shows, forecasting presidential elections is an inexact science. Everybody...