Price Discovery in the United States Dairy Industry

The organized Exchange spot (cash) cheese market is a private industry institution that has historically performed a primary price discovery function in the U.S. dairy industry. In addition to affecting cheese prices in contract cheese market, the Exchange spot cheese prices have influenced prices paid for milk at the farm level that are set within the system of Federal Milk Marketing Orders (FMMOs). The effects that the Exchange spot cheese market has on FMMOs milk pricing attract increased attention in light of the most recent concerns about increasing milk price volatility and its effect on the dairy farm profitability. While the design of milk pricing within FMMOs has evolved over the last three decades, the effect of the Exchange spot cheese prices on FMMOs milk pricing has intensified. This research conducts an econometric analysis of the behavior (i.e. the level and volatility) of the Exchange spot cheese price over three FMMOs milk pricing regimes