Macroeconomic Factor Influence on Agricultural Program Sustainability in Kaduna State, Nigeria

In this paper, we measure the degree to which a change in key macroeconomic variables, such as the global oil price, influences the ability of state Ministries of Agriculture in Nigeria to sustain agricultural program funding. More precisely, we estimate and compare the degree to which Nigerian federal and Kaduna state (hereafter Kaduna) government revenues co-move with the global oil price, assess the degree to which the Kaduna government has historically relied on federal allocations to fund its activities, and evaluate the share of the Kaduna Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (KDMAF) budget that is provided by donors in order to measure how much the KDMAF budgetary condition can change due to adjustments in the global oil price or reductions in donor funds