Agricultural Production Intensification in Ukraine: Decision Support of Agricultural Policies Based On the Assessment of Ecological and Social Impacts in Rural Areas

Agriculture is one of the major economic sectors of Ukraine. Therefore, improving agricultural practices is of critical importance for economy, environment, and society in Ukraine. Rapidly increasing intensification of agricultural production promotes large agrarian enterprises. These processes lead to certain consequences. An export-oriented business has a raw character, doesn't fulfill its social role and carries environmental risks. The main goal of these studies is to investigate flexible crop production portfolios/practices at the regional and district level in Ukraine to meet local agro-ecological norms, consumers demand, financial resources, availability of infrastructure and help to improve local strategies for food security and robust land resource utilization. The proposed stochastic model calculates in accordance with available database at regional (25 regions) and district (496 districts) levels the results, which are visualized using GIS software. This paper analyzes current land use processes and develops proper policy recommendations to mitigate the negative consequences (socio, ecology, economic) of unsustainable agricultural intensification in the future