Today more than half of the world population has fertility below the replacement level, i.e., less than two surviving children per woman; and there are now several countries where fertility has dropped to levels that are of serious concern to policy-makers. All major population projections currently assume that fertility in the countries with the lowest levels will recover or at least not decline any further. Should birth rates, however, defy these projections and continue to decline, then these populations would shrink and age much more rapidly than currently assumed. The "low fertility trap hypothesis" discussed in this contribution gives plausible reasons why indeed fewer and fewer people may want to have children in the future
Period fertility rates fell to previously unseen low levels in a large number of countries beginning...
By the late 1990s fertility in the developed world had declined to 1.6 births per woman, a level sub...
Even though the world's human population is still growing faster than it should for the sake of our ...
In the past few decades, demographic concerns have shifted from rapid population growth fueled by hi...
This paper starts from the assessment that there is no good theory in the social sciences that woul...
This paper starts from the assessment that there is no good theory in the social sciences that would...
This paper starts from the the assessment that there is no good theory in the social sciences that w...
Conventional theories have little to say about the level at which fertility will stabilize at the en...
AbstractHuman fertility has never been so varied. In some countries the average number of births per...
Demographic Transition Theory” assumes that fertility decline is irreversible. This commonly held as...
This paper starts from the assessment that there is no good theory in the social sciences that would...
Europe has long completed its demographic transition from high birth and death rates to low birth an...
BACKGROUND: Depending on whether the global level of fertility is assumed to converge to the current...
Depending on whether the global level of fertility is assumed to converge to the current European TF...
This paper discusses results of the global survey of experts on the future of low fertility in low-f...
Period fertility rates fell to previously unseen low levels in a large number of countries beginning...
By the late 1990s fertility in the developed world had declined to 1.6 births per woman, a level sub...
Even though the world's human population is still growing faster than it should for the sake of our ...
In the past few decades, demographic concerns have shifted from rapid population growth fueled by hi...
This paper starts from the assessment that there is no good theory in the social sciences that woul...
This paper starts from the assessment that there is no good theory in the social sciences that would...
This paper starts from the the assessment that there is no good theory in the social sciences that w...
Conventional theories have little to say about the level at which fertility will stabilize at the en...
AbstractHuman fertility has never been so varied. In some countries the average number of births per...
Demographic Transition Theory” assumes that fertility decline is irreversible. This commonly held as...
This paper starts from the assessment that there is no good theory in the social sciences that would...
Europe has long completed its demographic transition from high birth and death rates to low birth an...
BACKGROUND: Depending on whether the global level of fertility is assumed to converge to the current...
Depending on whether the global level of fertility is assumed to converge to the current European TF...
This paper discusses results of the global survey of experts on the future of low fertility in low-f...
Period fertility rates fell to previously unseen low levels in a large number of countries beginning...
By the late 1990s fertility in the developed world had declined to 1.6 births per woman, a level sub...
Even though the world's human population is still growing faster than it should for the sake of our ...