A Regional Model of Long-Term Wetland-Forest Dynamics

Wetland-forest dynamics is a subject of great theoretical and practical interest, particularly with respect to the boreal forest in the USSR. Scandinavia and Canada. Under current hydrological conditions, the characteristic time for succession from forest to bog (or vice versa) is about 100 years. But with greenhouse-gas warming of the atmosphere during the next 50 years, succession rates may be considerably altered, and this might have significant impact on the forest sector. It is therefore essential that models be developed and tested with historical data, so that an idea may be obtained of likely future states. This Working Paper is a significant contribution to the literature on wetland-forest dynamics