The potential impact of climate change on hurricane risk assessment

This paper presents a framework to assess the potential for increased hurricane risk to residential construction under various wind speed increase scenarios due to climate change. The framework includes a probabilistic hurricane wind field model and a hurricane damage model. A case study of Miami-Dade County, Florida is presented to illustrate the framework. Demographic information, such as median house value and changed house numbers, and distribution of houses on different exposure, are used to estimate the probable damage with or without the increased wind speed. This study finds that climate change may have a substantial impact on the damage and loss estimation in coastal areas