We develop an exchange rate target zone model with finite exit time and non-Gaussian tails. We show how the tails are a consequence of time-varying investor risk aversion, which generates mean-preserving spreads in the fundamental distribution. We solve explicitly for stationary and non-stationary exchange rate paths, and show how both depend continuously on the distance to the exit time and the target zone bands. This enables us to show how central bank intervention is endogenous to both the distance of the fundamental to the band and the underlying risk. We discuss how the feasibility of the target zone is shaped by the set horizon and the degree of underlying risk, and we determine a minimum time at which the required parity can be reach...
From the classical gold standard up to the current ERM2 arrangement of the European Union, target zo...
The desire to avoid speculative runs on currencies appears to be one of the main reasons leading pol...
We estimate a target zone model for three ERM exchange rates for 1983–6 and 1987–91 by the method of...
We present a simple behavioral model with chartists and fundamentalists and analyze their trading be...
We present a simple behavioral model with chartists and fundamentalists and analyze their trading be...
This paper develops an empirical model of exchange rates in a target zone. The distribution of excha...
We examine the effects of endogenously determined realignment expectations in a model of a target zo...
Under different assumptions about the underlying monetary shocks, we study target zones of various w...
This paper proposes a target zones exchange rate model with a terminal condition of entering a curre...
The first chapter of this dissertation analyzes a stochastic rational expectations macro model and t...
We examine the ability of a target zone to stabilize exchange rates in the presence of two stylised ...
A target zone attempts to limit the movement of an exchange rate, avoiding the pitfalls of both a pe...
The trade-off between interest rate variability and the width of an exchange rate target zone is exa...
In the model of this paper, an exchange rate fluctuates between given boundaries for random lengths ...
This paper develops a new theoretical model with an asymmetric informal one-sided exchange rate targ...
From the classical gold standard up to the current ERM2 arrangement of the European Union, target zo...
The desire to avoid speculative runs on currencies appears to be one of the main reasons leading pol...
We estimate a target zone model for three ERM exchange rates for 1983–6 and 1987–91 by the method of...
We present a simple behavioral model with chartists and fundamentalists and analyze their trading be...
We present a simple behavioral model with chartists and fundamentalists and analyze their trading be...
This paper develops an empirical model of exchange rates in a target zone. The distribution of excha...
We examine the effects of endogenously determined realignment expectations in a model of a target zo...
Under different assumptions about the underlying monetary shocks, we study target zones of various w...
This paper proposes a target zones exchange rate model with a terminal condition of entering a curre...
The first chapter of this dissertation analyzes a stochastic rational expectations macro model and t...
We examine the ability of a target zone to stabilize exchange rates in the presence of two stylised ...
A target zone attempts to limit the movement of an exchange rate, avoiding the pitfalls of both a pe...
The trade-off between interest rate variability and the width of an exchange rate target zone is exa...
In the model of this paper, an exchange rate fluctuates between given boundaries for random lengths ...
This paper develops a new theoretical model with an asymmetric informal one-sided exchange rate targ...
From the classical gold standard up to the current ERM2 arrangement of the European Union, target zo...
The desire to avoid speculative runs on currencies appears to be one of the main reasons leading pol...
We estimate a target zone model for three ERM exchange rates for 1983–6 and 1987–91 by the method of...