This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interes...
Abstract Many mortality forecasting approaches extrapolate past trends. Their predictions of the fut...
Mortality is generally considered relatively easy to forecast, particularly when the forecasting hor...
This cumulative dissertation contributes to the field of longevity risk, i.e. the risk of people liv...
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements...
Mortality forecasts are essential for predicting the future extent of population ageing, and for det...
Continuing increases in life expectancy beyond previously-held limits have brought to the fore the c...
Mortality modelling and forecasting are deeply rooted in demographic and actuarial sciences. Models ...
Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades, leading to grow...
Having accurate and high-quality mortality forecasts has become increasingly important due to the ge...
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on overall mortali...
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on overall mortali...
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on overall mortali...
Demographic Forecasting introduces new statistical tools that can greatly improve forecasts of popul...
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on overall mortali...
The increasing life expectancy, driven mainly by improvements in sanitation, housing and education, ...
Abstract Many mortality forecasting approaches extrapolate past trends. Their predictions of the fut...
Mortality is generally considered relatively easy to forecast, particularly when the forecasting hor...
This cumulative dissertation contributes to the field of longevity risk, i.e. the risk of people liv...
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements...
Mortality forecasts are essential for predicting the future extent of population ageing, and for det...
Continuing increases in life expectancy beyond previously-held limits have brought to the fore the c...
Mortality modelling and forecasting are deeply rooted in demographic and actuarial sciences. Models ...
Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades, leading to grow...
Having accurate and high-quality mortality forecasts has become increasingly important due to the ge...
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on overall mortali...
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on overall mortali...
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on overall mortali...
Demographic Forecasting introduces new statistical tools that can greatly improve forecasts of popul...
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on overall mortali...
The increasing life expectancy, driven mainly by improvements in sanitation, housing and education, ...
Abstract Many mortality forecasting approaches extrapolate past trends. Their predictions of the fut...
Mortality is generally considered relatively easy to forecast, particularly when the forecasting hor...
This cumulative dissertation contributes to the field of longevity risk, i.e. the risk of people liv...