In this paper we model a risk process, which starts from some positive level, by means of a Markov additive process with an underlying finite state Markov chain. We aim at evaluating the ruin probability corresponding to such processes by developing a suitable importance sampling algorithm. The ruin probability turns out to be a large deviations probability (as the initial level of the reserve diverges) under fairly general conditions. Given this, we determine an importance sampling measure and show it to be the only asymptotically efficient measure in a wide class of importance sampling measure
Importance sampling is a classical Monte Carlo technique in which a random sample from one probabili...
. Simulated annealing --- moving from a tractable distribution to a distribution of interest via a s...
An adaptive importance sampling methodology is proposed to compute the multidimensional integrals e...
Let us consider a risk process with reserve-dependent premium rate and delayed claims. Consider a cl...
This article provides importance sampling algorithms for computing the probabilities of various type...
ABSTRACT. We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. I...
This thesis consists of four papers, presented in Chapters 2-5, on the topics large deviations and s...
We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in a random e...
We introduce Path-ZVA: an efficient simulation technique for estimating the probability of reaching ...
Abstract. We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in ...
We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in a random e...
This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk set...
This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk set...
In order to assess the reliability of a complex industrial system by simulation, and in reasonable t...
Importance sampling is one of the classical variance reduction techniques for increasing the efficie...
Importance sampling is a classical Monte Carlo technique in which a random sample from one probabili...
. Simulated annealing --- moving from a tractable distribution to a distribution of interest via a s...
An adaptive importance sampling methodology is proposed to compute the multidimensional integrals e...
Let us consider a risk process with reserve-dependent premium rate and delayed claims. Consider a cl...
This article provides importance sampling algorithms for computing the probabilities of various type...
ABSTRACT. We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. I...
This thesis consists of four papers, presented in Chapters 2-5, on the topics large deviations and s...
We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in a random e...
We introduce Path-ZVA: an efficient simulation technique for estimating the probability of reaching ...
Abstract. We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in ...
We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in a random e...
This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk set...
This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk set...
In order to assess the reliability of a complex industrial system by simulation, and in reasonable t...
Importance sampling is one of the classical variance reduction techniques for increasing the efficie...
Importance sampling is a classical Monte Carlo technique in which a random sample from one probabili...
. Simulated annealing --- moving from a tractable distribution to a distribution of interest via a s...
An adaptive importance sampling methodology is proposed to compute the multidimensional integrals e...