Recent studies suggest psychological differences between conservatives and liberals, including that conservatives are more overconfident. We use a behavioral political economy model to show that while this is undoubtedly true for election years in the current era, there is no reason to believe that conservative ideologies are intrinsically linked to overconfidence. Indeed, it appears that in 1980 and before, conservatives and liberals were equally overconfident
This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from the National Academy of ...
We conduct a proper test of the claim that people are overconfident, in the sense that they believe ...
Evidence from psychology and economics indicates that many individuals overes-timate their ability, ...
Recent studies suggest psychological differences between conservatives and liberals, including that ...
This paper studies, theoretically and empirically, the role of over-confidence in political behavior...
We study the relationship between overconfidence and the political and financial behavior of a natio...
As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of ...
We conduct two experimental tests of the claim that people are overconfident, using new tests of ove...
Political conservativism has been associated with lower cognitive ability, including lower numeracy ...
Many studies have shown that people display an apparent overconfidence. In particular, it is common ...
We conduct two experiements of the claim that people are overconfident. We develop new tests of over...
As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of ...
This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from the National Academy of ...
We conduct a proper test of the claim that people are overconfident, in the sense that they believe ...
Evidence from psychology and economics indicates that many individuals overes-timate their ability, ...
Recent studies suggest psychological differences between conservatives and liberals, including that ...
This paper studies, theoretically and empirically, the role of over-confidence in political behavior...
We study the relationship between overconfidence and the political and financial behavior of a natio...
As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of ...
We conduct two experimental tests of the claim that people are overconfident, using new tests of ove...
Political conservativism has been associated with lower cognitive ability, including lower numeracy ...
Many studies have shown that people display an apparent overconfidence. In particular, it is common ...
We conduct two experiements of the claim that people are overconfident. We develop new tests of over...
As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of ...
This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from the National Academy of ...
We conduct a proper test of the claim that people are overconfident, in the sense that they believe ...
Evidence from psychology and economics indicates that many individuals overes-timate their ability, ...