Endogenní teorie optimálních měnových oblastí

This thesis operates with the Endogenous Optimum Currency Area theory. It tests the main assumption of the endogenous theory by applying correlation and regression analysis on selected EU Member States. It compares correlation of economic cycles of selected states with the Eurozone over time along with testing significance of particular correlation factors. The results note significant synchronization of economic cycles during the economic crisis of 2008 as well as important desynchronization after 2013. As far as correlation factors are concerned statistical significance of Bilateral Trade Intensity, Intra-Industry Trade and Fiscal Differences Index on correlation of economic cycles is confirmed. However, the endogenous OCA hypothesis could not be unambiguously confirmed due to important European synchronization trend throughout the economic crisis that impacted large part of the results. Based on significant synchronization of European economies during economic crisis application of common monetary policy during this period can be recommended