CONVERGENCE OF BUSSINESS CYCLES OF THE EMU REGIONS

The aim of this bachelor thesis is to answer the question whether the region of countries that participate in the European Monetary Union since 1999, constitute an optimal currency area. We will identify it under one of the criteria of OCA theory -- synchronization of economic cycles. This work first explain the emergence and development of the theory of optimum currency areas, and its criticism mainly by two different perspectives on the incidence of asymmetric shock in the economy after joining the single currency union, which causes asynchronous business cycle of the country. It also explains the economic cycle and particularly the methods used to detrending the time series, which are used for our research. In the analytical part, we create a correlation analysis, by force of detrending annual data of gross value added of NUTS2 regions that we will be able to answer whether the business cycles converge or diverge