The Impact of County and City Governments’ Policy Implementation on Population Mobility

本篇文章之研究目的，主要是探討臺灣地區各縣市政府之整體施政績效是否會影響縣市間之人口移動。本研究將利用臺灣23個縣市別的追蹤資料(panel data)，涵蓋期間為2005年至2010年。採固定效果模型(fixed-effect model)評估縣市政府整體施政績效與人口遷移存在之關聯性。將回顧國內外文獻中，關於政府施政績效之衡量、人口遷移理論及影響人口遷移之相關文獻。此外，本研究也整理近年來各縣市政府與人口遷移有關之施政政策，以及臺灣各縣市人口分佈現況。最後，為了進一步探討政府整體施政績效，對於性別及年齡層的不同是否存在差異，本研究將建立五種實證模型，藉此更全面分析臺灣各縣市政府之整體施政績效，對於縣市間之人口遷移之影響為何。本研究主要發現為，縣市政府之社會福利與環境保護績效會響影縣市間人口之遷移，且為正向影響。對於性別及年齡層方面則沒有太大差異。The purpose of this paper seeks to examine whether the overall policy implementation of each Taiwanese county and city governments will impact the population mobility within the specific areas. This research paper employed the panel data of the 23 counties and cities of Taiwan, spanning the duration between 2005 and 2010. In the same light, we made use of the fixed-effect model to evaluate the correlation between the policy implementation of the governments and the population mobility. Furthermore, we reviewed the literature relating to governmental policy implementation evaluation methods, theories, and causes for population mobility. In addition, this research organized documents pertaining to the policy implementation strategies of each county and city government, as well as data on the current population distribution. Finally, this paper constructed five empirical models, in order to further analyze if the overall governmental policy implementation had an impact on the gender and age groups, notwithstanding to more comprehensively analyze the correlation between the policy implementation and population mobility within counties and cities. The primary finding of this paper was that the social welfare and environmental protection policies of the county and city governments had a positive impact on the population distribution of corresponding counties and cities. On the other hand, gender and age group factors showed no significant difference