Employment in manufacturing: a long‐run relationship and short‐run dynamics

Examines the behaviour of UK employment in manufacturing over the period 1964 to 1986. The use of cointegration techniques allows the separation of a long‐run equilibrium relationship for employment from its short‐run dynamics. The estimated model demonstrates a high degree of parameter stability both within and outwith the sample period used for estimation. Given the noted sensitivity of other employment equations to system shocks, the model′s performance pre – and post‐1979 is particularly noteworthy