Direct geomechanical inversion from geodetic data: A new method for a regularised direct inversion to geomechanical parameters using measurements from optical leveling campaigns

Subsidence of the ground surface, caused by hydrocarbon production, compaction of soft ground layers or other subsidence causes, is a timely topic in the Netherlands. Geodetic measurements of the surface can help us improve our knowledge of the subsurface; this process is called geomechanical inversion. Improved knowledge on the subsurface is needed for example to improve deformation predictions and to safeguard subsurface and surface infrastructure. Related works in this domain use derivatives of geodetic measurements as input for their inversion methodologies, but not the measurements themselves. Performing geomechanical inversion with derivatives of geodetic measurements introduces correlations in the covariance matrix of the data, making error propagation into the geomechanical estimates more complex. Defining a direct relationship between measurements and geomechanical estimates and subsequently inverting this relationship, makes the error propagation less complex. This thesis presents a new methodology that can be used to estimate reservoir geomechanical parameters through direct inversion using measurements from optical leveling campaigns. In the context of this thesis, a direct inversion is an inversion of a linear relationship between data and measurements. In this thesis, we propose and test a workflow for the estimation of a simplified set of geomechanical parameters. Part of the workflow is an extensive testing procedure of the geodetic data. A Geertsma nucleus-of-strain model is used to express a source parameter term in function of optical leveling measurements. This source parameter term is a lumped term and consists of a volume term, a pressure term, and several elastic rock parameter terms. This system is inverted using a Tikhonov regularization with a spatial penalty term. The methodology is applied to optical leveling data from a case study (the Norg and Roden gas fields in the northern Netherlands) and shows promising results. The RMS between modeled and measured subsidence for the most promising parameterization is 3.0 mm. The proposed methodology leads to geomechanical estimates with formal quality description, that could improve geomechanical models and subsequently leads to a better understanding of the subsurface and better subsidence predictions. The geomechanical parameter that is estimated is lumped and without additional information, it is impossible to differentiate between individual compaction parameter terms. Feeding the problem more information might also relax the need for regularization but can lead to the introduction of bias. We believe that the framework proposed in this work can be a good starting point for further research that uses geodetic measurements directly as input for a geomechanical inversion