Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020
- Johnson, Helen C.
- Gossner, Céline M.
- Colzani, Edoardo
- Kinsman, John
- Alexakis, Leonidas
- Beauté, Julien
- Würz, Andrea
- Tsolova, Svetla
- Bundle, Nick
- Ekdahl, Karl
Publication date
January 2020
DOI Publisher
European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)Abstract
Two months after the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) is becoming more likely. We provide scenarios for use in preparedness for a possible widespread epidemic. The EU/EEA is moving towards the ‘limited sustained transmission’ phase. We propose actions to prepare for potential mitigation phases and coordinate efforts to protect the health of citizens
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