Analisis Pengaruh Faktor Makroekonomi Indonesia terhadap Import dari China Tahun 1996-2018

The activity of importing goods is closely related to international trade in order to develop economic development, which causes a change in economic structure and economic policies. In Indonesia, in order to advance a significant economy the government entered into multilateral agreements, one of which was the ASEAN China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) agreed in 2010. ACFTA is an agreement between ASEAN member countries and China to realize a free trade area by removing or reducing barriers - barriers to trade in goods. From this declaration, this study was conducted to estimate whether there were significant changes in Indonesia's imports from China both before and after the ACFTA Agreement and whether macroeconomic variables such as foreign exchange reserves, the exchange rate of the rupiah against the USD, inflation, foreign direct investment and foreign debt Indonesia also influenced Indonesia's imports from China. This study uses time series data, with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression analysis tools and Dummy variables to see the effect before and after the ACFTA agreement. The results of this study indicate that the estimated constant model has increased from -18303.03 to 53378.23, meaning that there is a tendency of an increase in imports after the ACFTA agreement and for the foreign exchange and inflation variables after the ACFTA agreement the foreign exchange show a significant influence. To handle this, the government is expected to impose barriers to reduce imports. Keywords: Foreign Exchange, Rupiah Exchange Rate USD, Inflation, Foreign Direct Investment, Foreign Debt, Indonesian Imports from China, Ordinary Least Square (OLS), Dumm