Estimation of the Therapeutic Prognosis and Treatment Analysis in a College Psychology Service

La prevalencia de problemas psicológicos puede tener efectos negativos directos e indirectos en el desarrollo personal y académico de los estudiantes universitarios. A partir de una muestra de 43 participantes atendidos en el Servicio de Atención Psicológica de la Universidad de Cádiz se evalúa el impacto de la intervención realizada sobre sus niveles de salud mental a través del cuestionario Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation–Outcome Measure (CORE-OM), y sus repercusiones en diferentes aspectos universitarios como la tasa de rendimiento o las calificaciones académicas. Se ha utilizado un modelo de cadenas de Markov con objeto de estudiar el comportamiento del sistema que represente el pronóstico de la evolución de los usuarios atendidos. Tomando como estados seis niveles de gravedad (de saludable a severo) que ofrece el CORE-OM se establecen las transiciones del alumnado entre los distintos estatus en un ciclo de 6 meses.The prevalence of psychological problems may have directly and indirectly negative impacts on the personal and academic development of college students. Having taken a sample of 43 participants who were assessed by the College Psychology Service of University of Cádiz (Spain), the impact of the intervention implemented over their levels of mental health was evaluated using the questionnaire Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation–Outcome Measure (CORE-OM), as well as their influence on different university aspects such as the rate of performance or academic qualifications. A Markov chain model was created with the purpose of studying the behavior of the system which represents the prediction of the evolution of cared students. Taking into consideration the six severity levels (from healthy to severe) offered by CORE-OM, the student transition among different statuses in a 6-month cycle was established