Any researcher’s publications at any time can be ordered from the highest cited to the lowest cited, yielding a citation curve. We describe a novel method for predicting citation curves of researchers in the future. The method depends on treating the citation curves of researchers for various years as one single spatio-temporal function from rank and time to citations. For each researcher, we derive an estimate of this spatio-temporal function that can be used to predict the total citations of individual publications at any given rank at any time. Experiments show that this method can accurately predict entire citation curves and derived measures, such as, the total citations to all publications and the h-index of the researchers
Evaluating scientific research is crucial for the academic community and the society at large. To ra...
In an article in the pages of this journal five years ago, we described a method for predicting whic...
The number of papers published by a researcher and the number of times his papers have been cited ar...
Any researcher’s publications at any time can be ordered from the highest cited to the lowest cited,...
As a simple means for comparing and - if possible - predicting scientific impacts of different resea...
In most of the cases, scientists depend on previous literature which is relevant to their research f...
We tested the underlying assumption that citation counts are reliable predictors of future success, ...
In most of the cases, scientists depend on previous literature which is relevant to their research f...
We tested the underlying assumption that citation counts are reliable predictors of future success, ...
In this paper, we study the problem of predicting future ci-tation count of a scientific article aft...
Abstract. We study the problem of predicting the popularity of items in a dynamic environment in whi...
Abstract We have developed a method to obtain robust quantitative bibliometric indicators for severa...
A new citations index measure that combines total citations and h-index values is proposed. Based on...
A fundamental problem in citation analysis is the prediction of the long-term citation impact of rec...
Abstract Citation numbers and other quantities derived from bibliographic databases are becoming sta...
Evaluating scientific research is crucial for the academic community and the society at large. To ra...
In an article in the pages of this journal five years ago, we described a method for predicting whic...
The number of papers published by a researcher and the number of times his papers have been cited ar...
Any researcher’s publications at any time can be ordered from the highest cited to the lowest cited,...
As a simple means for comparing and - if possible - predicting scientific impacts of different resea...
In most of the cases, scientists depend on previous literature which is relevant to their research f...
We tested the underlying assumption that citation counts are reliable predictors of future success, ...
In most of the cases, scientists depend on previous literature which is relevant to their research f...
We tested the underlying assumption that citation counts are reliable predictors of future success, ...
In this paper, we study the problem of predicting future ci-tation count of a scientific article aft...
Abstract. We study the problem of predicting the popularity of items in a dynamic environment in whi...
Abstract We have developed a method to obtain robust quantitative bibliometric indicators for severa...
A new citations index measure that combines total citations and h-index values is proposed. Based on...
A fundamental problem in citation analysis is the prediction of the long-term citation impact of rec...
Abstract Citation numbers and other quantities derived from bibliographic databases are becoming sta...
Evaluating scientific research is crucial for the academic community and the society at large. To ra...
In an article in the pages of this journal five years ago, we described a method for predicting whic...
The number of papers published by a researcher and the number of times his papers have been cited ar...