POLITICAL LEADERSHIP OF FRANJO TUĐMAN: ANALYSIS OF SOURCES OF POWER

Ovo se doktorsko istraţivanje bavi politiĉkim djelovanjem Franje Tuđmana od 1989. do 1999. iz analitiĉke perspektive politiĉkog vodstva. Politiĉko vodstvo se u radu razmatra kao oblik moći u smislu utjecaja politiĉkih vođa na ishode odluĉivanja. Prema teoriji politiĉkog vodstva, utjecaj politiĉkih vođa na ishode odluĉivanja određen je s tri tipa ĉimbenika – institucionalnim, situacijskim i osobnim. Kroz analizu politiĉkog djelovanja Franje Tuđmana u razliĉitim fazama i tipovima politiĉke aktivnosti od 1989. do 1999. autor će ispitati koliko je bio uspješan odnosno neuspješan u oblikovanju ishoda politiĉkog odluĉivanja te će identificirati kljuĉne ĉimbenike odnosno izvore moći njegova politiĉkog vodstva. Empirijska analiza je pokazala da je Tuđman imao odluĉujuću ulogu u oblikovanju stranaĉkih i državnih odluka od 1989. do 1999., premda se u pojedinim fazama morao susresti i s neuspjesima u odluĉivanju. Istraţivanje je utvrdilo i objasnilo utjecaj odabranih institucionalnih, situacijski i osobnih ĉimbenika politiĉkog vodstva Franje Tuđmana, pri ĉemu su se institucionalni elementi pokazali najstabilnijim izvorima moći Tuđmanova politiĉkog vodstva. Odabrani situacijski ĉimbenik je postao naroĉito znaĉajan poslije parlamentarnih i predsjedniĉkih izbora 1992., dok je osobni element (Tuđmanova karizma) bio primarni izvor moći politiĉkog vodstva Franje Tuđmana u fazi osnivanja Hrvatske demokratske zajednice, a u kasnijim fazama je taj utjecaj bio ojaĉan i oslabljen ovisno o situaciji.This dissertation examines the political action of Franjo Tuđman from 1989 to 1999 from the analytical perspective of political leadership. Here, the political leadership is regarded as the form of power in the sense of the influence of political leaders on the outcomes of the decision – making processes. According to political leadership theory, three types of factors determine the influence of political leaders on the outcomes of the decision – making processes: institutional, situational and personal factors. By analyzing Tudjman’s political action in the different phases and types of activities from 1989 to 1999, it aims to examine his successes and failures in shaping the state and party decisions and identify key factors, that are sources of power of his political leadership. Empirical analysis showed that Tuđman had a decisive role in shaping the outcomes of party and state decision – making processes from 1989 to 1999, although in certain phases he faced failures in shaping the political outcomes. The analysis identified the impact of selected institutional, situational and personal factors of the political leadership of Franjo Tuđman, showing that institutional elements were the most stable sources of power of Tuđman's political leadership. Selected situational factor became especially significant after the parliamentary and presidential elections in 1992, while personal element (Tuđman's charisma) was the primary source of power of Tuđman’s political leadership in the founding phase of Croatian Democratic Union, and its impact was enhanced and weaken in the following phases, according to a given situation