Route-Level Demand Models: A Review: Interim Report

Federal Transit Administration 50th Anniversaryhttps://doi.org/10.21949/15274001982PDFTech ReportMenhard, H. R.Burns, I.Ruprecht, G.Multisystems, Inc.United States. Urban Mass Transit Administration.United States. Urban Mass Transportation AdministrationWashington (District of Columbia);United StatesUrban transitPublic transitRoutesDemandAdministration and ManagementFinanceHighwaysOperations and Traffic ManagementPlanning and ForecastingPublic TransportationI72: Traffic and Transport PlanningDOT-I-82-6DOT-TSC-1756Interim ReportThis report reviews the current practices used by transit operators for predicting ridership changes resulting from modifications to individual bus route frequency, coverage, travel times, transfer opportunities, and bus stop locations. Prediction methods for new route demand are also reviewed. Each modeling approach covered is described in terms of model form, forecast variable, model inputs, types of analyses, and application procedure. These approaches are evaluated in terms of sensitivity, range of applications, analyst dependence, cost and technical sophistication required.138