Influence of State-Variable Constraints on Partially Observable Monte Carlo Planning

Online planning methods for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) have re- cently gained much interest. In this paper, we pro- pose the introduction of prior knowledge in the form of (probabilistic) relationships among dis- crete state-variables, for online planning based on the well-known POMCP algorithm. In particu- lar, we propose the use of hard constraint net- works and probabilistic Markov random fields to formalize state-variable constraints and we extend the POMCP algorithm to take advantage of these constraints. Results on a case study based on Rock- sample show that the usage of this knowledge pro- vides significant improvements to the performance of the algorithm. The extent of this improvement depends on the amount of knowledge encoded in the constraints and reaches the 50% of the average discounted return in the most favorable cases that we analyzed