Demographic amplification is a predictor of invasiveness among plants

This is the final version. Available on open access from Nature Research via the DOI in this recordData Availability: All data used for analyses are provided in online supplementary materials, alongside code for analysis. The COMPADRE database11 is published online https://www.compadre-db.org/. All data are available from authors on request.Invasive plant species threaten native biodiversity, ecosystems, agriculture, industry and human health worldwide, lending urgency to the search for predictors of plant invasiveness outside native ranges. There is much conflicting evidence about which plant characteristics best predict invasiveness. Here we use a global demographic survey for over 700 plant species to show that populations of invasive plants have better potential to recover from disturbance than non-invasives, even when measured in the native range. Invasives have high stable population growth rates in their invaded ranges, but this metric cannot be predicted based on measurements in the native ranges. Recovery from demographic disturbance is a measure of transient population amplification, linked to high levels of reproduction, and shows phylogenetic signal. Our results demonstrate that transient population dynamics and reproductive capacity can help to predict invasiveness across the plant kingdom, and should guide international policy on trade and movement of plants.Natural Environment Research Council (NERC