Anthropogenic and ecological drivers of amphibian disease (ranavirosis)

This is the final version. Available on open access from Public Library of Science via the DOI in this recordData Availability: The data analysed in this manuscript has been deposited in Dryad (doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.5061/dryad.66k59). Third party data was obtained from Froglife and are therefore available through the charity Froglife (Registered Charity No. 1093372 in England and Wales). Please submit queries for data to info@froglife.org and asking for access to the data for research purposes. Further contact details can also be found on their website http://www.froglife.org/contact-us/.Ranaviruses are causing mass amphibian die-offs in North America, Europe and Asia, and have been implicated in the decline of common frog (Rana temporaria) populations in the UK. Despite this, we have very little understanding of the environmental drivers of disease occurrence and prevalence. Using a long term (1992-2000) dataset of public reports of amphibian mortalities, we assess a set of potential predictors of the occurrence and prevalence of Ranavirus-consistent common frog mortality events in Britain. We reveal the influence of biotic and abiotic drivers of this disease, with many of these abiotic characteristics being anthropogenic. Whilst controlling for the geographic distribution of mortality events, disease prevalence increases with increasing frog population density, presence of fish and wild newts, increasing pond depth and the use of garden chemicals. The presence of an alternative host reduces prevalence, potentially indicating a dilution effect. Ranavirosis occurrence is associated with the presence of toads, an urban setting and the use of fish care products, providing insight into the causes of emergence of disease. Links between occurrence, prevalence, pond characteristics and garden management practices provides useful management implications for reducing the impacts of Ranavirus in the wild