We consider a statistical test whose p value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to ensure that the resampling risk, the probability of the (Monte Carlo) decision being different from the true decision, is uniformly bounded. This article introduces a simple open-ended method with this property, the confidence sequence method (CSM). We compare our approach to another algorithm, SIMCTEST, which also guarantees an (asymptotic) uniform bound on the resampling risk, as well as to other Monte Carlo procedures without a uniform bound. CSM is free of tuning parameters and conservative. It has the s...
International audience``Simple regret'' algorithms are designed for noisy optimization in unstructur...
In this paper, a sequential stopping rule for the estimation of a probability p by means of Monte Ca...
Monte Carlo analysis has become nearly ubiquitous since its introduction, now over 65 years ago. It ...
We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations....
Software packages usually report the results of statistical tests using p-values. Users often interp...
Monte Carlo methods are useful tools to approximate the numerical result of a problem by random samp...
This article presents an algorithm that generates a conservative confi-dence interval of a specified...
AbstractThis paper deals with the estimate of errors introduced by finite sampling in Monte Carlo ev...
Usually, confidence intervals are built through inversion of a hypothesis test. When the analytical...
Group sequential hypothesis testing is now widely used to analyze prospective data. If Monte Carlo ...
When it is not possible to obtain the analytical null distribution of a test statistic U, Monte Car...
The technique of Monte Carlo (MC) tests [Dwass (1957), Barnard (1963)] provides an attractive method...
A procedure for calculating critical level and power of likelihood ratio test, based on a Monte-Carl...
Abstract. Conventional procedures for Monte Carlo and bootstrap tests require that B, the number of ...
This paper deals with the estimate of errors introduced by finite sampling in Monte Carlo evaluation...
International audience``Simple regret'' algorithms are designed for noisy optimization in unstructur...
In this paper, a sequential stopping rule for the estimation of a probability p by means of Monte Ca...
Monte Carlo analysis has become nearly ubiquitous since its introduction, now over 65 years ago. It ...
We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations....
Software packages usually report the results of statistical tests using p-values. Users often interp...
Monte Carlo methods are useful tools to approximate the numerical result of a problem by random samp...
This article presents an algorithm that generates a conservative confi-dence interval of a specified...
AbstractThis paper deals with the estimate of errors introduced by finite sampling in Monte Carlo ev...
Usually, confidence intervals are built through inversion of a hypothesis test. When the analytical...
Group sequential hypothesis testing is now widely used to analyze prospective data. If Monte Carlo ...
When it is not possible to obtain the analytical null distribution of a test statistic U, Monte Car...
The technique of Monte Carlo (MC) tests [Dwass (1957), Barnard (1963)] provides an attractive method...
A procedure for calculating critical level and power of likelihood ratio test, based on a Monte-Carl...
Abstract. Conventional procedures for Monte Carlo and bootstrap tests require that B, the number of ...
This paper deals with the estimate of errors introduced by finite sampling in Monte Carlo evaluation...
International audience``Simple regret'' algorithms are designed for noisy optimization in unstructur...
In this paper, a sequential stopping rule for the estimation of a probability p by means of Monte Ca...
Monte Carlo analysis has become nearly ubiquitous since its introduction, now over 65 years ago. It ...