Calibration vs. prior densities for strategies A and B. The dotted lines represent the calibration density, while the shaded (grey) histograms represent the effective prior obtained from MCMC sampling. Numbers in brackets indicate the 95% prior CI. Note that the priors for three Cauchy-based calibrations in strategy B (Primates, Anthropoidea and Human-Gorilla) have heavy tails that extend substantially back in time
<p>Each panel shows the (unnormalized) probability density for a ‘prior’ distribution of targets, gr...
(A) mortality salience, (B) cards, (C) both manipulations. Red distribution is the prior probability...
<p>Estimated posterior distributions for accuracy (A) and response time in delayed response (DR) (D)...
Calibration vs. prior densities for strategies A and B. The dotted lines represent the calibration ...
Effective prior distributions (red) and posterior distributions (blue and green) for two separate MC...
<p>Posterior densities for age estimates for the calibrated nodes based on the full analysis (light ...
Supplementary Figure 4: Comparison of prior and posterior distribution of nodes for the nuclear phyl...
<p>Log-normally distributed calibration priors for the age of the MRCA of Citharinoidei (a-d) and <i...
Supplementary Figure 5: Comparison of prior and posterior distribution of nodes for the nuclear phyl...
<p>A critical step for any Bayesian analysis is the examination of the influence of prior densities ...
Comparison of prior and posterior distributions for calibrated nodes based on BEAST analyse
<p><i>Top row:</i> Medium Uniform (light brown) block. <i>Bottom row:</i> Medium High-Peaked (dark b...
<p><i>Top row:</i> Short Uniform (red) and Long Uniform (green) blocks. <i>Bottom row:</i> Medium Un...
(A) Dispersity of the inferred values obtained during different runs of C1-5. In total, the calibrat...
Estimated numbers (posterior means) of different patterns A-E of consecutive samples and the estimat...
<p>Each panel shows the (unnormalized) probability density for a ‘prior’ distribution of targets, gr...
(A) mortality salience, (B) cards, (C) both manipulations. Red distribution is the prior probability...
<p>Estimated posterior distributions for accuracy (A) and response time in delayed response (DR) (D)...
Calibration vs. prior densities for strategies A and B. The dotted lines represent the calibration ...
Effective prior distributions (red) and posterior distributions (blue and green) for two separate MC...
<p>Posterior densities for age estimates for the calibrated nodes based on the full analysis (light ...
Supplementary Figure 4: Comparison of prior and posterior distribution of nodes for the nuclear phyl...
<p>Log-normally distributed calibration priors for the age of the MRCA of Citharinoidei (a-d) and <i...
Supplementary Figure 5: Comparison of prior and posterior distribution of nodes for the nuclear phyl...
<p>A critical step for any Bayesian analysis is the examination of the influence of prior densities ...
Comparison of prior and posterior distributions for calibrated nodes based on BEAST analyse
<p><i>Top row:</i> Medium Uniform (light brown) block. <i>Bottom row:</i> Medium High-Peaked (dark b...
<p><i>Top row:</i> Short Uniform (red) and Long Uniform (green) blocks. <i>Bottom row:</i> Medium Un...
(A) Dispersity of the inferred values obtained during different runs of C1-5. In total, the calibrat...
Estimated numbers (posterior means) of different patterns A-E of consecutive samples and the estimat...
<p>Each panel shows the (unnormalized) probability density for a ‘prior’ distribution of targets, gr...
(A) mortality salience, (B) cards, (C) both manipulations. Red distribution is the prior probability...
<p>Estimated posterior distributions for accuracy (A) and response time in delayed response (DR) (D)...