ESTIMATING RISK OF AIRBORNE INFLUENZA TRANSMISSION IN A CONTROLLED ENVIRONMENT

Pandemic preparedness is weakened by uncertainty about the relative importance of influenza transmission modes, particularly airborne droplet nuclei (aerosols). A human-challenge transmission trial in a controlled environment was conducted to address this uncertainty. Healthy, seronegative volunteer ‘Donors’ (N=52) were randomly selected for intranasal challenge with influenza A/Wisconsin/67/2005 (H3N2) and exposed to seronegative ‘Recipients’ randomized to intervention (N=40) or control (N=35) groups. Intervention recipients wore face shields and hand sanitized frequently to limit large droplet and contact transmission. A transmitted infection, confirmed by serology in a control recipient, yielded a 1.3% SAR overall. This was significantly less than the expected 16% SAR (p