This letter uses consumer survey data to estimate expectations-augmented Phillips curves with inflation expectations disaggregated by socioeconomic and demographic groups. The inflation expectations of high-income, college-educated, male, and working-age people play a larger role in inflation dynamics than do the expectations of other groups of consumers or of professional forecasters
Abstract: We evaluate possible explanations for the absence of a persistent decline in inflation du...
Historical experience suggests an important role for some deviation from the most restricted form of...
‘Modern’ Phillips curve theories predict inflation is an integrated, or near integrated, process. Ho...
This paper estimates the Phillips curve allowing for a simultaneous role of rational and survey expe...
This paper argues for a careful (re)consideration of the expectations formation process and a more s...
This paper uses an econometric model and Bayesian estimation to reverse engineer the path of inflati...
Preliminary Version We provide evidence on the fit of the hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve for se...
This paper uses monthly survey data for the G7 countries for the time period 1989–2007 to explore th...
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relatio...
The expectations-augmented Phillips curve (PC) is a cornerstone of many macroeconomic models. We co...
Despite the fact that professional forecasters have significant resources to observe the economy and...
This Economic Letter uses two surveys of inflation expectations, one based on household respondents ...
Survey data on household expectations of inflation are routinely used in economic analysis, yet it i...
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relatio...
Tightening labor markets in the United States and other advanced economies suggest inflation should ...
Abstract: We evaluate possible explanations for the absence of a persistent decline in inflation du...
Historical experience suggests an important role for some deviation from the most restricted form of...
‘Modern’ Phillips curve theories predict inflation is an integrated, or near integrated, process. Ho...
This paper estimates the Phillips curve allowing for a simultaneous role of rational and survey expe...
This paper argues for a careful (re)consideration of the expectations formation process and a more s...
This paper uses an econometric model and Bayesian estimation to reverse engineer the path of inflati...
Preliminary Version We provide evidence on the fit of the hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve for se...
This paper uses monthly survey data for the G7 countries for the time period 1989–2007 to explore th...
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relatio...
The expectations-augmented Phillips curve (PC) is a cornerstone of many macroeconomic models. We co...
Despite the fact that professional forecasters have significant resources to observe the economy and...
This Economic Letter uses two surveys of inflation expectations, one based on household respondents ...
Survey data on household expectations of inflation are routinely used in economic analysis, yet it i...
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relatio...
Tightening labor markets in the United States and other advanced economies suggest inflation should ...
Abstract: We evaluate possible explanations for the absence of a persistent decline in inflation du...
Historical experience suggests an important role for some deviation from the most restricted form of...
‘Modern’ Phillips curve theories predict inflation is an integrated, or near integrated, process. Ho...