Isn't probability 1 certainty? If the probability is objective, so is the certainty: whatever has chance 1 of occurring is certain to occur. Equivalently, whatever has chance 0 of occurring is certain not to occur (it has no chance of occurring). If the probability is subjective, so is the certainty: if you give credence 1 to an event, you are certain that it will occur. Equivalently, if you give credence 0 to an event, you are certain that it will not occur (it has no weight in your calculations of expected outcomes). And so on for other kinds of probability, such as evidential probability. The formal analogue of this picture is the regularity constraint: a probability distribution over sets of possibilities is regular just in case it assi...
In most of the cases, imprecise probability is represented by means of probability intervals, upper ...
There is a long tradition in formal epistemology and in the psychology of reasoning to investigate i...
summary:Probability logic studies the properties resulting from the probabilistic interpretation of ...
Recently Timothy Williamson asked ‘How probable is an infinite sequence of heads?’ In this paper, I ...
It is necessary to distinguish the logic of certainty from the logic of probable. By fusing together...
We consider a conception of reality that is the following: An object is 'real' if we know that if we...
35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Berlin, Germany, 31 July - 3 August 2013In ...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that invo...
Probability can be used to measure degree of belief in two ways: objectively and subjectively. The o...
For reasoning about uncertain situations, we have probability theory, and we have logics of knowledg...
Abstract The so-called ‘Adams ’ Thesis ’ is often understood as the claim that the assertibility of ...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that inv...
In standard probability theory, probability zero is not the same as impossibility. However, many ha...
Frequentist: Probability is just a relative frequency. Propensity: Probability is a tendency towards...
AbstractThe theory of sets of desirable gambles is a very general model which covers most of the exi...
In most of the cases, imprecise probability is represented by means of probability intervals, upper ...
There is a long tradition in formal epistemology and in the psychology of reasoning to investigate i...
summary:Probability logic studies the properties resulting from the probabilistic interpretation of ...
Recently Timothy Williamson asked ‘How probable is an infinite sequence of heads?’ In this paper, I ...
It is necessary to distinguish the logic of certainty from the logic of probable. By fusing together...
We consider a conception of reality that is the following: An object is 'real' if we know that if we...
35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Berlin, Germany, 31 July - 3 August 2013In ...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that invo...
Probability can be used to measure degree of belief in two ways: objectively and subjectively. The o...
For reasoning about uncertain situations, we have probability theory, and we have logics of knowledg...
Abstract The so-called ‘Adams ’ Thesis ’ is often understood as the claim that the assertibility of ...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that inv...
In standard probability theory, probability zero is not the same as impossibility. However, many ha...
Frequentist: Probability is just a relative frequency. Propensity: Probability is a tendency towards...
AbstractThe theory of sets of desirable gambles is a very general model which covers most of the exi...
In most of the cases, imprecise probability is represented by means of probability intervals, upper ...
There is a long tradition in formal epistemology and in the psychology of reasoning to investigate i...
summary:Probability logic studies the properties resulting from the probabilistic interpretation of ...