We provide evidence that catastrophic bifurcation breakdowns or transitions, preceded by early warning signs such as flickering phenomena, are present on notoriously unpredictable financial markets. For this we construct robust indicators of catastrophic dynamical slowing down and apply these to identify hallmarks of dynamical catastrophic bifurcation transitions. This is done using daily closing index records for the representative examples of financial markets of small and mid to large capitalisations experiencing a speculative bubble induced by the worldwide financial crisis of 2007-08
URL des Documents de travail : http://ces.univ-paris1.fr/cesdp/cesdp2016.htmlDocuments de travail du...
Working paperIn this paper we present empirical evidence that the sovereign bond markets may have un...
As one of the highest complex nonlinear dynamical systems, financial markets are notably hard to pre...
The global impact of the recent financial crisis has once more stressed the urgency of new approache...
Complex systems inspired analysis suggests a hypothesis that financial meltdowns are abrupt critical...
Complex systems inspired analysis suggests a hypothesis that financial meltdowns are abrupt critical...
Financial markets are complex systems where investors interact using competing strategies that gener...
Financial crises have repeatedly been coined as a potential application area in the recent literatur...
International audienceIn this article, we consider financial markets as complex dynamical systems, a...
The history of financial markets over the past century points to the stylised fact that markets buil...
In this paper we study an indicator of financial instability which relies on the computation of the ...
The present paper introduces an up-to-date methodology to detect Early Warning Signals of critical t...
A so-called Critical Transition occurs when a small change in the input of a system leads to a large...
URL des Documents de travail : http://ces.univ-paris1.fr/cesdp/cesdp2016.htmlDocuments de travail du...
Working paperIn this paper we present empirical evidence that the sovereign bond markets may have un...
As one of the highest complex nonlinear dynamical systems, financial markets are notably hard to pre...
The global impact of the recent financial crisis has once more stressed the urgency of new approache...
Complex systems inspired analysis suggests a hypothesis that financial meltdowns are abrupt critical...
Complex systems inspired analysis suggests a hypothesis that financial meltdowns are abrupt critical...
Financial markets are complex systems where investors interact using competing strategies that gener...
Financial crises have repeatedly been coined as a potential application area in the recent literatur...
International audienceIn this article, we consider financial markets as complex dynamical systems, a...
The history of financial markets over the past century points to the stylised fact that markets buil...
In this paper we study an indicator of financial instability which relies on the computation of the ...
The present paper introduces an up-to-date methodology to detect Early Warning Signals of critical t...
A so-called Critical Transition occurs when a small change in the input of a system leads to a large...
URL des Documents de travail : http://ces.univ-paris1.fr/cesdp/cesdp2016.htmlDocuments de travail du...
Working paperIn this paper we present empirical evidence that the sovereign bond markets may have un...
As one of the highest complex nonlinear dynamical systems, financial markets are notably hard to pre...