We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and justified. The model can describe how counterfactual beliefs are updated given the unfolding of actual history. It also al- lows us to examine the use of counterfactuals in prediction, and to show that a logically omniscient reasoner gains nothing from using counterfactuals for prediction
There are at least eight good reasons practicing historians should concern themselves with counterfa...
Abstract. Counterfactuals are conjectures about what would have happened, had an alternative event o...
Counterfactual thinking refers to mental constructions of alternatives to past events. In this overv...
We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and justified. The model can d...
International audienceWe suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and just...
We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are con-structed and justified. The model can ...
This is the author accepted manuscript.Most attempts at forecasting the future depend, explicitly or...
This paper will argue for the use of history in prediction making, specifically in counterfactual pr...
When people want to identify the causes of an event, assign credit or blame, or learn from their mis...
Counterfactuals are conjectures about what would have happened, had an alternative event occurred. &...
This paper contributes to the debate on the virtues and vices of counterfactuals as a basis for caus...
Counterfactuals are conjectures about what would have happened, had an alternative event occurred. &...
A successful theory of causal reasoning should be able to account for inferences about counterfactua...
Rethinking and introspection are important elements of human intelligence. To mimic these capabiliti...
I develop an account of counterfactual conditionals using “causal models”, and argue that this accou...
There are at least eight good reasons practicing historians should concern themselves with counterfa...
Abstract. Counterfactuals are conjectures about what would have happened, had an alternative event o...
Counterfactual thinking refers to mental constructions of alternatives to past events. In this overv...
We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and justified. The model can d...
International audienceWe suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and just...
We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are con-structed and justified. The model can ...
This is the author accepted manuscript.Most attempts at forecasting the future depend, explicitly or...
This paper will argue for the use of history in prediction making, specifically in counterfactual pr...
When people want to identify the causes of an event, assign credit or blame, or learn from their mis...
Counterfactuals are conjectures about what would have happened, had an alternative event occurred. &...
This paper contributes to the debate on the virtues and vices of counterfactuals as a basis for caus...
Counterfactuals are conjectures about what would have happened, had an alternative event occurred. &...
A successful theory of causal reasoning should be able to account for inferences about counterfactua...
Rethinking and introspection are important elements of human intelligence. To mimic these capabiliti...
I develop an account of counterfactual conditionals using “causal models”, and argue that this accou...
There are at least eight good reasons practicing historians should concern themselves with counterfa...
Abstract. Counterfactuals are conjectures about what would have happened, had an alternative event o...
Counterfactual thinking refers to mental constructions of alternatives to past events. In this overv...
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