It has been consistently observed that people are generally overconfident in their judgments or decisions and that overconfidence in general knowledge is typically stronger among Asian than among Western subject groups. However, scientists, whose job is to produce neutral and objective knowledge, are expected to be immune to overconfidence and to be independent of crosscultural variation. The authors conducted an email survey to determine whether well-trained scholars are really immune to the overconfidence bias and whether cross-cultural variations in overconfidence exist among scientists from different language backgrounds. Contrary to the authors’ expectations, scientists who published their works in Science or Nature were inaccurate, ov...
Overconfidence can manifest itself in various forms. For example, people think that their knowledge ...
Public attitudes that are in opposition to scientific consensus can be disastrous and include reject...
Public attitudes that are in opposition to scientific consensus can be disastrous and include reject...
It has been consistently observed that people are generally overconfident in their judgments or deci...
Do lay people and scientists themselves recognize that scientists are human and therefore prone to h...
Overconfidence is a robust cognitive bias with far-reaching implications, but prior research on cult...
Do lay people and scientists themselves recognize that scientists are human and therefore prone to h...
Overconfidence is sometimes assumed to be a human universal, but there remains a dearth of data syst...
Overconfidence is often assumed to be a human universal, but there remains a dearth of data systemat...
A very well established phenomenon in the judgment and decision making tradition is the overconfiden...
In this article, nine world regions (based on samples from 33 nations) are compared in their perform...
Overconfidence is sometimes assumed to be a human universal, but there remains a dearth of data syst...
Are scientists using language aimed at convincing editors and reviewers to publish their work? Joeri...
Uncertainty in Placement for Empathy (a) without incentives and (b) with incentives and for Math (c)...
Overconfidence can manifest itself in various forms. For example, people think that their knowledge ...
Overconfidence can manifest itself in various forms. For example, people think that their knowledge ...
Public attitudes that are in opposition to scientific consensus can be disastrous and include reject...
Public attitudes that are in opposition to scientific consensus can be disastrous and include reject...
It has been consistently observed that people are generally overconfident in their judgments or deci...
Do lay people and scientists themselves recognize that scientists are human and therefore prone to h...
Overconfidence is a robust cognitive bias with far-reaching implications, but prior research on cult...
Do lay people and scientists themselves recognize that scientists are human and therefore prone to h...
Overconfidence is sometimes assumed to be a human universal, but there remains a dearth of data syst...
Overconfidence is often assumed to be a human universal, but there remains a dearth of data systemat...
A very well established phenomenon in the judgment and decision making tradition is the overconfiden...
In this article, nine world regions (based on samples from 33 nations) are compared in their perform...
Overconfidence is sometimes assumed to be a human universal, but there remains a dearth of data syst...
Are scientists using language aimed at convincing editors and reviewers to publish their work? Joeri...
Uncertainty in Placement for Empathy (a) without incentives and (b) with incentives and for Math (c)...
Overconfidence can manifest itself in various forms. For example, people think that their knowledge ...
Overconfidence can manifest itself in various forms. For example, people think that their knowledge ...
Public attitudes that are in opposition to scientific consensus can be disastrous and include reject...
Public attitudes that are in opposition to scientific consensus can be disastrous and include reject...